Cecil Smith Is Rocket Man?

Effectively, this blog post is an extension and the necessary point & conclusion of the previous blog post titled Cecil Smith Is Mario Andretti? here.

Now let’s see how fast Cecil, if he was in the 001 SUV at Haverhill PD headquarters when Ronda dispatched the call, was speeding to pass Karen the first time when she made her turn onto Swiftwater Rd. adjacent to Cottage Hospital

The following was grabbed from my blog post titled Blue Light Special here.

Some have asked since I posted this at what time did the 001 SUV pass Karen the first time and where? I have already mentioned the 001 SUV passed Karen in proximity to Cottage Hospital almost immediately as she turned onto Swiftwater Road heading East. I put the time of placing her car in reverse as she’s leaving her work parking lot at approximately, or almost exactly, the time Ronda dispatches Maura’s accident to Cecil Smith which is 7:29:31pm. It takes Karen approximately 30 seconds to back up and navigate her way to Swiftwater Road where she makes a right and approximately 5 seconds later the 001 SUV comes racing by.

How do I know this? Math, once again. Using the formula below we have a Distance Traveled of 5.8 miles and an estimated speed of 43mph — the same speed Oxygen used to come up with the 7:37pm arrival time for Karen at the weathered barn corner using the cell phone call at the height of land at Beaver Pond before descending the mountain down to Lincoln/North Woodstock. This calculation renders a travel time of exactly 8 minutes and when we subtract that from 7:37pm we get 7:29pm. It’s reasonable that she arrived at the weathered barn corner not exactly at 7:37pm but instead 7:37:31pm and with a travel time of 8:00 that puts her placing her car in reverse in the parking lot at work at 7:29:31, precisely when Ronda Marsh dispatches Cecil Smith. By the time she turns onto Swiftwater Road the 001 SUV has been enroute for ~ 30 seconds and I estimate that at 70mph to 82mph that means it had to be in proximity to the Shiloh Restaurant when it heard Ronda’s dispatch. Isn’t math great? For some it’s not. In particular, the driver of the 001 SUV that fateful February evening in 2004.

Distance Traveled (miles) ÷ Speed (mph) = Trip Time (hours/minutes/seconds) X 60

5.8 miles ÷ 43 mph = Trip Time (hours/minutes/seconds) X 60

Trip Time = (.13488) X 60

Trip Time = 8.09 minutes or ~ 8 minutes and 6 seconds (.09 X 60 = 6) or ~ 8 minutes rounding

7:37:31 – 8:06 = 7:29:25

From the above analysis coupled with the analysis from the Cecil Smith Is Mario Andretti? blog post linked to above, Karen was passed by the 001 SUV at approximately the time Cecil was exiting the Haverhill PD parking lot onto Route 10. Already, we see it’s impossible for Cecil Smith to have passed Karen at 19:30:05 when he just turned onto Route 10 at 19:30:36.

Let’s change the parameters for Cecil to see if we can force fit it. Let’s say Cecil is already in the 001 SUV in the parking lot at Haverhill PD when he receives the dispatch from Ronda at 19:29:31 per the GCSD incident Log. He throws the vehicle in reverse and on his way out of the parking lot radios Ronda that he is enroute at 19:29:36 per the GCSD incident Log. This puts him on Route 10 at 19:29:36. If he passes Karen at 19:30:05 it means he has 29 seconds to travel 3.6 miles. Let’s do the math and see how fast he’d have to be speeding.

Per Karen McNamara, the 001 SUV passed her the first time almost immediately after she turned onto Swiftwater Rd. adjacent to Cottage Hospital — a 3.6 mile trip from Haverhill PD.

Distance Traveled (miles) ÷ Trip Time (hours/minutes/seconds)Speed (mph) = Speed (mph) x 60

3.6 ÷ (29 ÷ 60)= Speed (mph) x 60

3.6 ÷ (.4833)= Speed (mph) x 60

Speed = (7.449) X (60)

Speed = 447 mph

Wow, the 001 SUV was really a rocket in disguise. Who could have known?

As you can see, it was IMPOSSIBLE for Cecil Smith to have been driving the 001 SUV that fateful evening and to have passed Karen McNamara, the first pass of two, adjacent to Cottage Hospital on Swiftwater Road if the 001 SUV embarked from Haverhill PD. What’s more likely and plausible and probable is that the 001 SUV was in proximity to Shiloh Restaurant when Ronda dispatched the accident at the weathered barn corner at 19:29:31pm.

Let’s do the math from this location, shall we?

Distance Traveled (miles) ÷ Trip Time (hours/minutes/seconds)Speed (mph) = Speed (mph) x 60

0.6 ÷ (29 ÷ 60)= Speed (mph) x 60

0.6 ÷ (.4833)= Speed (mph) x 60

Speed = (1.241) X (60)

Speed = 75 mph

Considering the entire analysis presented in the Blue Light Special blog post linked to above, this is what I would expect. This is logical. This fits the facts as we now know them, and since we now know Cecil Smith was at Haverhill PD (thanks, Erinn), per this analysis, we know it is impossible for him to have been driving the 001 SUV. Why then, did he claim he was driving it that evening? In front of millions of people on national television? You tell me. Or maybe he and the NHSP can tell me and you. Because the Oxygen docudrama sure didn’t and Erinn hasn’t even bothered to analyze it to the degree I have. Why not? You should answer that too while you’re at it or at least demand an answer if you’re truly interested in solving this case.

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